Granite State Poll
In addition to working with individual clients on single issue polling projects, the UNH Survey Center also conducts the Granite State Poll, a quarterly survey of public opinion in the state of New Hampshire. The Granite State Poll is an omnibus survey in which interested groups, agencies, or organizations can purchase one or more questions. In this way, fixed costs are shared. The Granite State Poll is a statewide, scientific survey of public opinion and behavior concerning policy issues. Conducted quarterly, the Poll randomly interviews approximately 500 respondents from across the state.
All adult residents of New Hampshire with a working telephone (including new and unlisted numbers) are eligible for the Granite State Poll. Reports on New Hampshire public opinion written by the Center are made available to legislators, members of the executive branch and other key government officials dealing with public policy as well as the media. Of course, any proprietary data collected by the Survey Center are held in strict confidence.
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Recent Press Releases
Granite Staters Skeptical Tax Law Will Benefit Them; Cite Health As Most Important Problem For Family 3/1/18
New Hampshire residents are divided in their opinion of the recently passed tax law. Despite some predictions that most Americans will see at least a short-term reduction in the taxes they pay, only one-third believe their taxes will decrease or that they will be better off. Republicans are far more likely than Democrats and Independents to favor the tax law and believe they will be better off and see their taxes decrease. When asked about the most important problem facing themselves and their family, respondents most frequently mention health/healthcare or income/finances.
A majority of Granite Staters support a law that would require everyone in a moving vehicle to wear a seatbelt and three-quarters support the expansion of a commuter rail line into New Hampshire's "Capital Corridor." Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to support a mandatory seatbelt law while support for rail expansion is more bipartisan. Most who were asked say they feel strongly about these issues but relatively few say they would be very or somewhat upset among those were asked how upset they would be if their preferred outcomes on these issues do not come about.
Bipartisan Support For Marijuana Legislation; Majorities Favor Keeping Current Alcohol & Tobacco Ages 2/27/18
A majority of Granite Staters favor a proposed law that would legalize possession of a small amount of marijuana and allow adults to grow up to six plants in their home but would not legalize or tax the sale of marijuana. Majorities would like to keep the minimum age to purchase alcohol and tobacco unchanged in New Hampshire.
Granite Staters Strongly Favor Expanded Medicaid Reauthorization, Divided on Education Savings Accounts 2/26/18
New Hampshire residents are strongly in favor of reauthorizing the expansion of Medicaid, which the state originally adopted in 2014. Democrats are far more likely to support reauthorization but a slight plurality of Republicans also support it. Nearly half of respondents say they would be less likely to vote for their State Senator if he or she voted against reauthorization. Granite Staters would support a bill similar to that adopted by Kentucky that requires Medicaid recipients to work or go through job training in order to receive benefits. Residents have heard very little about a bill to create Education Savings Accounts and are divided on the measure.
New Hampshire residents remain optimistic about the future of the NH and US economies. Republicans are very optimistic about the national economy while Democrats have become slightly more optimistic since October. NH residents are divided about the U.S. economy's long-term outlook; optimism is at an all-time high among Republicans but at an all-time low among Democrats. A record number of Republicans (78%) say they are better off than they were a year ago, while less than third of Independents and Democrats agree.
Senator Jeanne Shaheen continues to be the most popular member of the state's congressional delegation and her colleague Senator Maggie Hassan is also popular in the state. However, the popularity of both senators among Democrats has slightly declined since October. Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter, who is retiring at the end of her term, has seen an increase in popularity since October while Congresswoman Ann Kuster has seen a decrease.
Two years away from the 2020 New Hampshire presidential primary, most Democratic primary voters are still trying to make up their minds on which candidate to support, but Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren remain the early frontrunners. After receiving the second most support last October, Biden has now taken the lead over Sanders. Most Republicans are still trying to decide whom to support, but six in ten say they plan to vote for Trump in the 2020 primary, an increase since October and comparable to the proportion of Democrats who planned on voting for Barack Obama in February 2010. Interest in the 2020 primary has increased since October and is considerably greater than at this point in the last two electoral cycles.
Approval of Donald Trump's performance as president among New Hampshire residents remains low. Trump's personal favorability and approval of his handling of the economy and foreign affairs are largely unchanged. New Hampshire Republicans are more likely to approve of the job Trump is doing and more likely to view him favorably than they were last October and Republicans are more optimistic about the outlook of the country than they have been at any point since 2005.